Fixed-income investing beyond the bank
Despite low yields for CDs and Treasuries, some bonds are still attractive

10 tips to keep money in your wallet |
Technotica with Helen A.S. Popkin |
Interest rates are down and may go down more. That’s great if you want to borrow money, but it’s not so hot if you want to buy bonds or put money in the bank.
So where's the best place to put your fixed-income holdings?
It depends, of course, on your time horizon, tax situation and stomach for risk. Generally, though, under today’s conditions it doesn’t pay very well to tie your money up for the long term.
And it may pay to look beyond the ordinary holdings like bank savings and money market funds. Top-rated five-year municipal bonds, for example, pay the equivalent of nearly 4.7 percent for investors in the 28-percent tax bracket. At the same time, a five-year Treasury note yields just 3.4 percent.
To stimulate a growing economy, the Federal Reserve has cut short-term interest rates — the Fed funds rate — to 4.25 percent, down from 5.25 percent just a few months ago. While there is lots of speculation about whether the Fed will hold rates steady or cut further, not many analysts expect it to raise rates, which it does to head off inflation.
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If that’s confusing, imagine a $1,000 bond that paid its owner $50 a year, or 5 percent. If demand drove that bond’s price to $1,250, the $50 payment would be just 4 percent of the bond’s value. (It works the other way, too. If prevailing interest rates rise, prices of older bonds fall, since no one will pay full price for a bond with a below-market yield.)
The bond’s owner would be pretty happy about a price gain. But it takes an expert to make money speculating on changes in bond prices. Most ordinary investors focus on the yield – the steady interest earnings.
And for them, the picture is not pretty. Yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note, a benchmark for long-term rates, has fallen to about 4 percent, compared to 5.25 percent last summer.
While international traders with billions to invest may have no choice but to buy Treasuries, small investors have other options.
Certificates of deposit
The average 12-month certificate of deposit sold at a bank pays 4.4 percent, according to Bankrate.com. And your principal would be insured by the federal government, making it just as safe as a savings account. Invest in a Treasury instead and you would earn less and risk losing principal if interest rates were to go up.
Usually, you get a higher yield if you agree to tie your money up longer. But these are unusual times: Yields are virtually the same for five-year CDs as for one-year ones.
The only reason to tie your money up for five years or longer would be to lock in today’s rates in case yields fall further. No one knows for sure what will happen, but yields are already pretty low by historical standards.
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